Economy

Heat Stress Could Cost Ethiopia, Ghana and Senegal 2.5 Million Jobs by 2040

ILO · 3 hours ago · Read the Full Story on ILO
Heat Stress Could Cost Ethiopia, Ghana and Senegal 2.5 Million Jobs by 2040
AI SUMMARY

A new ILO study reveals that rising temperatures and workplace heat stress could cost Ethiopia, Ghana and Senegal 2.46 million full-time jobs and $67 billion in annual GDP by 2040.

  • Rising temperatures and workplace heat stress are affecting workers, productivity, and economies in Ethiopia, Ghana, and Senegal, according to the International Labour Organization.
  • By 2040 under a low-emissions pathway, reduced working time from heat stress is projected to equal approximately 2.46 million full-time jobs across the three countries.
  • Ethiopia faces an estimated 1.78 million lost full-time jobs by 2040, compared to 550,000 in Ghana and 129,000 in Senegal.
  • Combined annual GDP losses are projected at around US$67 billion by 2040 under the same pathway, including US$33.3 billion in Ethiopia, US$23.2 billion in Ghana, and US$10.5 billion in Senegal.
  • In 2023, workplace heat stress already resulted in significant additional losses of working time and economic output compared to the historical baseline in all three countries.
  • Agriculture and construction are among the most exposed sectors, though impacts also extend to manufacturing, transport, trade, services, and the informal economy.
  • In Ethiopia, more than one million full-time equivalent jobs were lost to workplace heat stress in 2023, with agriculture accounting for about three-quarters of those losses.
  • In Ghana, heat stress accounted for over 345,000 lost full-time equivalent jobs in 2023, with agriculture representing roughly two-thirds of the total.
  • In Senegal, nearly 72,000 full-time equivalent jobs were lost in 2023 due to heat stress, concentrated particularly in services and agriculture.
  • Proposed practical measures to reduce heat impacts include adjusting working hours, introducing work-rest cycles, providing shade and hydration, and improving social protection for informal workers.
  • The studies form part of a six-country research initiative also covering Lebanon, the Maldives, and Sri Lanka, commissioned by the ILO with support from the Climate Vulnerable Forum and the Vulnerable 20 Finance Ministers.